My co-blogger, SrCohiba, tried to throw some cold water on my theory that Fred Thompson is in a position to win the "First in the South" South Carolina primary and begin a march toward the GOP nomination. With all due respect to him, the poll he cited was a national poll. And national polls don't mean much at this point. It's a fact that winning a primary creates media buzz around a candidate and gives him/her a bump in the national polls. Since Fred's best finish was a 3rd place in Iowa the national media has not yet jumped on him as a contender.
But in South Carolina, Fred is getting traction. Rasmussen released a South Carolina poll today (conducted yesterday) that has Fred at 16%, up from 12% last Wednesday. He's trailing Romney who has 17%, Huckabee at 19% and McCain at 28%.
The most interesting thing to note is that Romney, Thompson and McCain all are gaining at the expense of Huckabee and to a lesser extent Giuliani who polled 24% and 6% respectively last Wednesday. But Thompson got the biggest boost.
Also note the impact undecideds could have:
The race remains very fluid with 8% of voters undecided and 11% saying there’s a good chance they could change their mind.It's not over until the fat lady sings.
Come on Fred, it's the home stretch!